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A 3 Sigma Week: When Everyone Hit the Risk Button

A 3-sigma event should only happen 0.3% of the time

Here are this week’s top 10 quotes and they read like a checklist for late-cycle euphoria: CTAs re-lever, retail buys everything in sight, bears capitulate, and leverage hits cycle highs. If this is “cautious” positioning, imagine what full-blown mania will look like.

1 - 3 sigma