How We Knew Trump Would Win
Donald Trump is the 47th President of the United States.
We predicted this back in July. And we emphasized it time and again throughout the last weeks. We noted:
1) Response rates for polls are 1%. This, combined with the fact that speaking truthfully to pollsters has ZERO upside and potentially MASSIVE downside, means polls are garbage in the U.S.
2) The elites who had access to honest data concerning voter preferences (Zuckerberg, Bezos, Musk) had all pivoted in anticipation of a Trump victory.
3) The most politically connected insiders (Zelenskyy, other foreign leaders) had all taken public steps to prepare for a Trump victory.
4) The greatest money manager alive, who can read the markets better than anyone else (Stanley Druckenmiller) stated that the markets were SCREAMING that Trump would win.
Even if you didn't know any of this, Bitcoin was a MAJOR "tell" that Trump would win. Trump is so pro-crypto that he spoke at a Bitcoin conference within two weeks of being shot. Do you think Bitcoin would be exploding out of a year-long bull flag if Trump wasn't going to win?
Add all of this up, and it was clear Donald Trump would be the 47th President of the U.S.
This is the goal of solid analysis: to block out the noise and focus on the real "tells" that have predictive value. Hopefully the shills and furus learn something from this episode in history.
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Best Regards
Phoenix Capital Research
PS. for those of you who are interested in more details concerning what a Trump win would mean for the markets, our Chief Market Strategist, Graham Summers, MBA recently hosted a webinar addressing this situation, including his upside target for stocks during the next four years, which stock market sectors will outperform, which sectors will decline, and more.
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