As We Enter The Eye Of The Tech Earnings Hurricane, Here's The Good News, And The Bad News
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From Peter Callahan, TMT Sector Specialist
Nasdaq up 6.5% last week, now impressively up 1% in the month of April (not a typo) – a rally that has been driven by
- i) better earnings (TMT sporting the highest beat rate – chart below),
- ii) a relaxed Vol backdrop (VIX back into the mid-20s),
- iii) a stable Rates picture (10yr ~4.25%),
- iv) cleaner positioning (see GS PB data re: Info Tech exposures nearing multi-year lows, on %-ile basis) and
- v) a perceived positive ‘rate of change’ on the policy front (think; US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index back to March levels);