markets


Goldman Calls The Bottom For The Historic Software Rout: Here's Why

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"This feels like a culmination of outright purchasers trying to find a bottom and potentially participants covering shorts." - Goldman ETF desk


"Cracks Appearing": Another Catastrophic Day For Multi-Strats Means Basis Trade Suddenly In Jeopardy

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"early signs of deleveraging underway. Balance sheet uncertainty and expected vol uptick playing into unwinds…"


US stocks declined amid continued tech woes and weak labour market metrics - Newsquawk Asia-Pac Market Open

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Challenger Layoffs surged in January to 108k from 36k, while the weekly claims report saw a notable jump to 231k from 209k, and JOLTS tumbled to 6.5mln from 6.9mln.

Amazon Plunges After Forecasting 50% Surge In Capex To $200BN

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Another batshit insane capex forecast. 


Bullion, Bitcoin, & Big-Tech Bloodbath Continues; Bonds JOLT'd

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..."another violent session" in US equities as 'equity crash risk' re-appears, started in China with metals liquidation...


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Stocks sold as Tech valuations are questioned, yields fall on weak jobs data - Newsquawk US Market Wrap

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JOLTS sink beneath expectations, claims jump above forecasts while challenger layoffs accelerate in January; Trump says Iran is negotiating; US and Russia agree to re-establish military-to-military talks; BoE holds rates as expected but with a more dovish vote split; ECB holds rates as expected; GOOGL beats on earnings, CapEx 2026 outlook raises concerns; Anthropic launches Claude Opus 4.6 AI model that it calls 'industry-leading' in finance; QCOM guidance underwhelms; HIMS to sell a copy of NVO's Wegovy pill at $49/month, NVO to take legal action; RIO and Glencore reportedly decide against merger.

Amazon Earnings Preview: All Eyes On CapEx

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"perhaps the best thing Amazon could do would be to announce that it plans only moderate capital expenditure in 2026."


You Don't Own Your Stocks the Way You Think You Do

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A real property-rights vulnerability embedded in the architecture of modern finance.


'Broadly Good For The Dollar': Citadel's Macro Guru's Ultimate Guide To The Implications Of 'Fed Chair' Warsh

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...the Fed Put is somewhat deeper out of the money but remains present in the event of a real crisis...


Morgan Stanley Quants Warn Of Billions In Levered ETF And Systematic Selling, No Retail Buyers

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"Crowded positioning coincided with an air pocket in demand, leaving consensus longs without a marginal buyer. A snapback is possible, but MS quants would sell any bounce in Momentum..."


US Soy Surge Tests Brazil's Supply Ceiling

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...matters because farmer confidence is cracking.


$49 Wegovy Copycat Pill Sparks Selloff In Novo Shares

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Just more bad news for Goldman's long-time Novo bull James Quigley... 


Job Openings Crater Most Since 2023 To Lowest In 5 Years As Payrolls Set For Negative Print

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The US jobs market just fell off a cliff, again. 


A Quarrel In A Faraway Land...

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...despite the scale of market moves, as ‘Bill Gates stated: “The majority of AI companies will fail”-- few writing about it understand the sector...


Top Goldman Trader Warns "Theme Of AI Disruption Is Deepening... And Broadening"

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In sharp contrast to what’s going on in software, the cyclical parts of the market trade very well...


EUR Flat As ECB Leaves Rates Unch; Cable Drops On BoE's 'Dovish Hold'

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ECB says the economy “remains resilient in a challenging global environment”

BoE says “there should be scope for some further reduction in bank rate this year.”


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Futures, Bitcoin, Gold All Tumble As Momentum Liquidations Accelerate

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"Three quarters of software stocks are in oversold territory, and the momentum trade that has been the way to play tech and software last year is under severe pressure" 


"Challenging External Environment": Volvo Crashes Most On Record After Earnings Miss

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"We have a very tough market." 


"Worst Day Since 2022": Wall Street's Top Traders Explain Why Momentum Suddenly Blew Up, And What's Next

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"Today’s session represents a clear escalation of the rotation and dispersion themes that surfaced yesterday - less about Software and more about a broader “re-risking to reversal” moment, where crowded Momentum exposure is being challenged aggressively" - Morgan Stanley


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European bourses are broadly on the backfoot; US equity futures mixed, but the NQ outperforms, as chip names benefit from Alphabet boosting AI spending.