Market-Implied Odds Of Complete Republican Sweep In November Surging; Goldman

Prediction market odds have shifted sharply in favor of a Trump re-election this November and now stand at roughly 60% compared with 40% - 50% for most of the year.

However, as Goldman Sachs trader John Flood points out, while client election focus has increased, both our conversations and GS Prime Services data suggest minimal trading based on potential election results so far...