markets


July Consumer Spending Unexpectedly Surges, Signals Big Retail Sales Beat: BofA Card Data

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Total credit and debit card spending per household increased 1.8% YoY in July, the highest growth rate this year, but wage growth for "the poors" is starting to slow substantially... 


Buffett Buys $1.6BN In New UnitedHealth Stake, Sells More Apple, Liquidates T-Mobile

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The disclosure of Buffett's UNH stake sent the insurer’s shares up more than 10% in after hours trading.

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The Most Insidious Trick Of AI Language Models

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Remember that none of this is real. AI doesn’t really care about you, it is only programmed to seem to care...

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Meet The Artist Turning Burned Vintage Porsches Into Stained-Glass Art

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“There are like 50 years of work in these cars, and I’ve only been alive for 30. That is what excites me.”


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US stock indices finished mostly flat with price action choppy after hot PPI data - Newsquawk Asia-Pac Market Open

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Fed September rate cut bets were slightly trimmed after headline and core PPI metrics markedly surpassed both the consensus and forecast range on all fronts.

China Will Ask Firms Run By Central Government To Buy Unsold Homes

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Central planning on steroids.


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REAR VIEW: Hot US PPI; US initial/continued claims remain rangebound; Putin says the US are seeking agreements that are acceptable to all; Kremlin says Putin/Trump to discuss trade and economic cooperation where there is "huge untapped potential"; Fed's Daly says a 50bps rate cut could send off an urgency signal, Musalem too pushes back against a 50bps cut; UK GDP tops expectations in Q2/June; Australia job growth in July matches expectations; Norges Bank holds rates, as expected.

Intel Soars On Report US Government To Buy Stake In Chip Giant

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The idea is for the US government to pay for the stake and details are being sorted out


Why Goldman's Trading Floor Is Buying Today's Dip With Both Hands

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Retail / Corporates / Positioning / CTAs / Sentiment / Fed / Cash Flow / Geopolitics / Earnings/etc. are all rowing in the same direction.


Retail Investors Have "Changed The Game" And Goldman Flows Gurus Don't See It Ending Anytime Soon

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...this cohort will continue to be drivers in the market, especially in the small cap and meme names...


Electricity Inflation: The Next Big Story

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For a decade, from 2010, to 2020, electricity, as measured in CPI, rose less than 12%. Since then it has risen almost 35%!


Despite International Courts, Climate Science Is Not The Law In The U.S.

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Replacing firm baseload sources like natural gas with alternative sources like wind or solar is not an apples-for-apples proposition...


These Are The 25 Stocks Goldman Expects Will Slingshot Higher In The Next Gamma Squeeze

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"The meme stock resurgence has spread into the broader buying of large-cap stocks." 


Instacart Doomed? Goldman Sees Millions Of Prime Members Flocking To Amazon's Same-Day Grocery

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"We estimate AMZN has ~129m US Prime Members. For context, if this move shifts..." 

 


Policy Error Panic Puts The Yield Curve On The Cusp Of Secular Steepening

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These are fertile conditions for a protracted steepening of the yield curve, at a time when it is already biased higher as the Treasury favours funding more of its deficit using short-term debt...


U.S. Retail Clothing Stores Lost 300,000 Jobs In Five Years Since The Pandemic

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While brick-and-mortar apparel stores have contracted, the U.S. Census Bureau’s Business Dynamic Statistics show rapid growth in nonstore retail.


JPY reacts late to Bessent comments; Trump-Putin to hold joint presser on Friday - Newsquawk US Market Open

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Russian Kremlin's Ushakov says Alaska summit will begin at 11:30 local time on Friday (20:30 BST/15:30 EDT)

Stagflation Risks Dim Bullishness On Europe

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Stagflation risks for Europe are making investors nervous, underpinning their reluctance to go all-in on stocks, at least in the near term.


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US President Trump said interest rates should be three or four points lower, while he thinks he will name a new Fed chairman "a little bit early" and noted that he is down to three or four names.

China Credit Shock: New Loans Fall For First Time In 20 Years Amid Relentless Deleveraging

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In the latest sign China's debt trap is getting bigger, net new loan growth was negative for the first time in 20 years