Bitcoin Tops $90,000 - Where Next?
The third time was the charm as Bitcoin finally surpassed the $90,000 Maginot Line this morning...
Source: Bloomberg
...now up over 32% since before the election night results started to pile in favor of Trump...
Source: Bloomberg
BTC ETF flows have been incredible...
Source: Bloomberg
Ethereum is also rallying, back above $3300...
Source: Bloomberg
But it has given back its relative outperformance gains against bitcoin since the election...
Source: Bloomberg
While bitcoin is at a record high in USDollars, it remains a little shy of its record high against the barbarous relic...
Source: Bloomberg
Where next?
Source: Bloomberg
Here's nine analysts' expectations that were shared with Cointelegraph.
Lennix Lai — OKX: Beyond $100,000
Lennix Lai, the global chief commercial officer of crypto exchange OKX, says he expects Bitcoin to reach a price of “beyond $100,000” by the last day of trading for 2024.
“We’re seeing signals of a potential paradigm shift into the next growth phase for crypto, which I think has the potential to push BTC beyond 100k before the end of the year,” said Lai.
However, Lai warned that the market had already priced in several bullish catalysts — namely the election results and rising traditional equities markets — and much of Bitcoin’s recent spike upward could be traced back to short-term euphoria.
“It’s important to bear in mind that considerable macroeconomic uncertainty exists.”
“The post-election landscape may include drastic government spending cuts and tariff reforms that could be a shock to markets. I believe that these factors could exacerbate inflation — potentially slowing the anticipated pace of Fed rate cuts,” he added.
He said these factors, combined with geopolitical risks, including the tensions in the Middle East and the US stance on active conflicts, may add further complexity to the market outlook and contribute to short-term volatility.
Tony Sycamore — IG Markets: Low-to-mid $90,000 region
IG Markets analyst Tony Sycamore told Cointelegraph he expects Bitcoin to end the year somewhere in the “low to mid $90,000” region. He said a lot of the “good news” following Trump’s election had already been priced in as BTC staged a surprise rally to over $90,000 on Nov. 11.
“The other reason is that it’s probably getting close to that time when some of the altcoins should start to play some catch-up,” he added.
“Ethereum, for example, is trading 20% below its year-to-date high, so I suspect that switching out of Bitcoin and into alts is a theme we will see play out into year-end.”
Josh Gilbert — eToro: $100,000
Market analyst Josh Gilbert of eToro said Bitcoin’s recent run of record highs is far from over and predicted that BTC will notch a new six-figure all-time high of $100,00 by year’s end.
In line with several other analysts, Gilbert cited Trump’s presidential victory, cooling interest rates, a robust US economy and a growing institutional appetite that saw record daily inflows into Bitcoin ETFs last week as key catalysts for future growth. “This run is yet to exhibit the ‘euphoria’ levels from retail that we’ve seen in previous cycles,” said Gilbert.
Despite the overarching bullish sentiment, Gilbert warned that there’s a strong chance BTC “takes a breather” in the next few weeks but conceded that overall, the trend was too strong to be ignored.
“This asset’s run over the last two weeks has been like a freight train — it’s going to take something big to slow it down.”
Ki Young Ju — CryptoQuant: $58,000
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju offered a more bearish outlook on price action for Bitcoin in the next few months.
In a Nov. 9 post to X, Ki said he expects Bitcoin to close the year at $58,974, citing overheated derivatives activity as the reason for an imminent correction.
Source: Ki Young Ji
“I expected corrections as BTC futures market indicators overheated, but we’re entering price discovery, and the market is heating up even more,” Ki said.
“If correction and consolidation occur, the bull run may extend; however, a strong year-end rally could set up 2025 for a bear market.”
Bitcoin is currently showing a record $55 billion in open interest, a measure of how many active positions are open on Bitcoin derivatives like futures and options, per CoinGlass data.
Open interest on Bitcoin is sitting at record levels. Source: CoinGlass
Pav Hundal — SwyftX: $103,000
SwyftX lead market analyst Pav Hundal told Cointelegraph that while it’s difficult to place an exact target for the end of the year, he expects BTC to close out 2024 trading just above $100,000.
“If you apply a common Fibonacci extension to the last cycle’s high and low points, it points to $103,000 by the end of the year,” he said
Guy Armoni — HDI Fund: Around $100,000
Guy Armoni, managing partner at HDI Fund, told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin has yet to reach its peak value for the cycle and expects Bitcoin to be trading higher, given a continuation of the current trend.
Armoni looked to the growing adoption of crypto worldwide and a more friendly policy environment for crypto assets and companies in the United States as the key price drivers for Bitcoin heading into the remainder of the year and onward into 2025. ‘If this trend continues, not only will we see Bitcoin at $100,000 this year, but I anticipate the bull market will extend into 2025, with Bitcoin potentially surprising us by reaching as high as $250,000,” Armoni said.
Matti Greenspan — Quantum Economics: Higher
Mati Greenspan, the founder and CEO of Quantum Economics, said Bitcoin had been “shrugging off” extremely bullish fundamentals and consolidating — rather than climbing — for most of this year, predicting continued outperformance for the asset heading into the end of 2024.
Source: Mati Greenspan
Arguing against the commonly held sentiment that this bull run could be over in a matter of months, Greenspan said he expects crypto’s upward trajectory to last a “long time.”
“Stock bull runs have been known to build over the course of a decade or more. People out there are acting like this will all be over in a month and they need to eat as much as they can while the food’s on the table or they’ll be left with scraps,” he said.
Ben Simpson — Collective Shift: $100,000
Collective Shift CEO Ben Simpson told Cointelegraph that while short-term pullbacks and corrections are likely, he predicts Bitcoin to finish this year trading at the $100,000 mark.
“With the Trump election, interest rates coming down, the potential for quantitative easing starting up in the future, and getting relatively consistent days of a billion dollars Bitcoin ETF volume, more people are catching on,” he said.
“When you’ve got a limited supply asset like Bitcoin and the amount of demand that’s coming in, the space is only going one way.”
Tom Wan — Independent analyst: $80,000-$95,000
“I believe Bitcoin would cross the $95,000-100,000 mark before the end of 2024. However, it is important to note that $100k is a key psychological zone, and we could see a significant selling wall near that range,” independent analyst Tom Wan told Cointelegraph.
Wan said investors are currently pricing in the expected pro-crypto regulations of a Trump administration and spiking inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs but cited record open interest on Bitcoin as a potential headwind for the short term.
Much like many other crypto industry pundits, Wan shares a highly optimistic outlook for prices in the longer term.
“With the anticipation of crypto-friendly regulation, I believe we should see more institutional investors like pensions, RIAs, state governments and public companies start allocating to crypto, which could fuel BTC to rise above important price levels,” Wan added.
Finally, does this seem under-priced?
Overall, the consensus among analysts is that Bitcoin will end the year trading at above or around the $100,000 mark. And despite the overarching bullish sentiment, most analysts warned of outsized volatility and major corrections for Bitcoin in the coming months.