"That Is Going To Build Into A Massive Problem": Sunday Night Thoughts From Goldman's Commodity Desk

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"I am concerned about the scale of the Open Interest (OI) in the options market…. If we look at the move in the vols that have happened over this week, they have been enormous… I do not think that option position has cleared…." - Goldman on Nat Gas


Iran Picks Khamenei's Son As Next Supreme Leader

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Mojtaba Khamenei is the third person to lead the Islamic Republic and the first example of hereditary succession since the overthrow of the Pahlavi monarchy in the 1979 revolution.


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Central bank headlines still move gold today. But a new global gold capital market is emerging that could change who really drives demand.

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Kurds Do Not 'Trust' US To Use Them As Proxy Force Against Iran

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Iraqi Kurdish officials say they are "staying neutral" because "there is no clarity"...


Martyrdom, Maps, & Munitions: Jim Rickards' Most Surprising Iran Takes

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...challenging topography, propaganda victories, and the re-provision problem.


Price Controls Arrive: South Korea, Taiwan Impose Fuel Price Cap

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⁠Lee said in the ​government would "swifly implement ​and ⁠boldly impement" a maximum price ⁠system ​on ​petroleum products.



When Reagan (Wisely) Cut & Run From The Middle East After Marine Barracks Bombing

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The full story that Pete Hegseth won't tell you...

 


Insurance Companies Crushed As Private Credit Contagion Spills Over

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"The market narrative centers on life insurers as a conduit for private credit risk and on the growing web of ownership and distribution ties between insurers and alternative asset managers."


US Aims To Exhume And Identify 88 USS Arizona Crew Members Buried As Unknowns After Pearl Harbor

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The planned exhumations will apply only to individuals buried as unidentified at the Honolulu cemetery...


'Small Price To Pay': Trump Says Surging Oil Prices Will 'Drop Rapidly' Once Iran Nuke Threat Over

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...with $5 gas imminent, he better be right!


Conscientious Objector Group: Phone 'Ringing Off Hook' As Huge Mobilization Underway

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"A LOT more units have just been activated for deployment than the public knows about"


Hartnett: US Politics Dictate March De-escalation To Iran War

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"Trump approval on economy (40%) & inflation (36%) back at lows (Chart 2), must reverse 45% jump in US oil prices, 15% jump in gasoline prices"- Hartnett


The Oil Island That Could Break Iran

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President Donald Trump’s allies are urging him to take control of a small spit in the Persian Gulf that controls nearly all of Iran’s oil exports...


'Dems Want Net-Zero... This Is It': Secretary Wright Urges Indian Point Nuclear Plant Restart

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NY Gov Hochul: “Let me say this plainly: No.


Operation Epic Fury - Déjà Vu

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"The President will declare victory, rinse and repeat..."


'Everything You Knew About The Market Flipped This Week': Top Goldman Trader

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...the quantum of things to be nervous about continue to increase and the largest problem in my mind is that none of them have a clear off-ramp...


Credit - A Little Bit Louder Now

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If the credit risk is already mispriced too aggressively, then we have nothing to fear. If we haven’t reached that stage, then we have a lot to fear, which is what my concerns about...


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Goldman Flows Guru Warns Relatively Calm Index Belies 'Fragile' Market With 'Poor Tolerance For Bad News'

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Until that gap closes... it argues for respecting downside convexity even if the index itself hasn’t fully cracked yet...


'10 Sigma': Goldman's Hedge Fund Honcho 'Level Sets' After Extraordinary Week

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...this shock may ultimately fade like others before it. But not until positioning de-crowds or leadership re-accelerates...


Xi Hints At More Top Purges, Issues Warning To 'Corrupt Elements' In Chinese Army

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Some "quality control" as approval of country's next five-year plan is imminent...


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US President Trump said Iran would be hit very hard on Saturday; Iran picked Khamenei's son as the new Supreme Leader, while Iran's President instructed the military not to attack any country not striking Iran, allthough strikes continued against Arab Gulf neighbours.