"That Is Going To Build Into A Massive Problem": Sunday Night Thoughts From Goldman's Commodity Desk
"I am concerned about the scale of the Open Interest (OI) in the options market…. If we look at the move in the vols that have happened over this week, they have been enormous… I do not think that option position has cleared…." - Goldman on Nat Gas
Mojtaba Khamenei is the third person to lead the Islamic Republic and the first example of hereditary succession since the overthrow of the Pahlavi monarchy in the 1979 revolution.
The gold market is quietly escaping central bank control
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Iraqi Kurdish officials say they are "staying neutral" because "there is no clarity"...
...challenging topography, propaganda victories, and the re-provision problem.
Lee said in the government would "swifly implement and boldly impement" a maximum price system on petroleum products.
The full story that Pete Hegseth won't tell you...
"The market narrative centers on life insurers as a conduit for private credit risk and on the growing web of ownership and distribution ties between insurers and alternative asset managers."
The planned exhumations will apply only to individuals buried as unidentified at the Honolulu cemetery...
...with $5 gas imminent, he better be right!
"A LOT more units have just been activated for deployment than the public knows about"
"Trump approval on economy (40%) & inflation (36%) back at lows (Chart 2), must reverse 45% jump in US oil prices, 15% jump in gasoline prices"- Hartnett
President Donald Trump’s allies are urging him to take control of a small spit in the Persian Gulf that controls nearly all of Iran’s oil exports...
NY Gov Hochul: “Let me say this plainly: No.”
...the quantum of things to be nervous about continue to increase and the largest problem in my mind is that none of them have a clear off-ramp...
If the credit risk is already mispriced too aggressively, then we have nothing to fear. If we haven’t reached that stage, then we have a lot to fear, which is what my concerns about...

Until that gap closes... it argues for respecting downside convexity even if the index itself hasn’t fully cracked yet...
...this shock may ultimately fade like others before it. But not until positioning de-crowds or leadership re-accelerates...
Some "quality control" as approval of country's next five-year plan is imminent...










































